6
Copernium
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 81
Laurel Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 2.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-30 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength24%
Delivery trend -3.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/2025 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 19/02/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 20/03/2026 | 2nd | 4/7 | 97% | 83% | -0.14 |
| 19/04/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 07/06/2026 | 1st | 8/15 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 27/06/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 26/07/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 57% | -0.28 |
| 30/08/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 20/09/2026 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 0% | -0.88 |