8

Sinetic

4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 81

Laurel Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f 110y

#2

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

9%

Place Prob

16%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength61%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Tampa Bay Downs 09/02/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 79 · 1m Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/02/2025 · OR 79 par9/02C7OR 79C5 @ Pimlico 10/05/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 77 · 5f Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/05/2025 · OR 77 parC5 @ Laurel Park 21/06/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 82 · 6f Gd 114 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/06/2025 · OR 82 par21/06C5OR 82C7 @ Colonial Downs 25/07/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 79 · 5f110y Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/07/2025 · OR 79 parC5 @ Laurel Park 26/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 74 · 5f110y Gd 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/04/2026 · OR 74 par26/04C5OR 74C5 @ Laurel Park 13/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 78 · 5f110y Fm 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/06/2026 · OR 78 parC8 @ Colonial Downs 16/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 83 · 5f110y Fm 122 · below its mark16/07/2026 · OR 83 par16/07C8OR 83C8 @ Colonial Downs 09/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 82 · 5f110y Fm 122 · below its mark09/08/2026 · OR 82 parC8 @ Colonial Downs 05/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 80 · 5f110y 122 · below its mark05/09/2026 · OR 80 par5/09C8OR 80projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Colonial Downs?11th11th0
2026-08-09Colonial Downs?6th6th0
2026-07-16Colonial Downs?6th6th0
2026-06-13Laurel Park?4th1st+3
2026-04-26Laurel Park?5th2nd+3
2025-07-25Colonial Downs?7th6th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0225/0716/075/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 8-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%

Delivery trend -0.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/02/20255th13/266%33%-0.32
10/05/20257th14/126%25%-0.01
21/06/202510th33/10%0%0.00
25/07/20257th10/147%25%-0.22
26/04/20265th20/10%43%+0.43
13/06/20264th12/137%57%+0.20
16/07/20266th11/486%17%-0.69
09/08/20266th8/158%44%-0.13
05/09/202611th20/10%0%0.00