Stone Cold Jones
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 74
Laurel Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
81%
Place Prob
48%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Charles Town | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-05-31 | Charles Town | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 28/09/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 09/05/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 31/05/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 29% | -0.24 |
| 20/06/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/07/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 82% | +0.56 |
| 26/07/2026 | 3rd | 4/6 | 96% | 67% | -0.30 |
| 23/08/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 17% | -0.62 |
| 11/09/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |