Transactional
7yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 67
Laurel Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#12
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-08-08 | Monmouth Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Penn National | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Penn National | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-05-20 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 05/10/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/10/2025 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/05/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 03/06/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/06/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 19/06/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 08/08/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/09/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |