9

Wheneveruremember

4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 74

Laurel Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f 110y

#11

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength66%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: +2.3
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Colonial Downs 11/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 59 · 5f110y Fm 119 · beat its mark11/07/2025 · OR 59 par11/07C9OR 59C6 @ Colonial Downs 25/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 67 · 5f110y Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/07/2025 · OR 67 parC5 @ Colonial Downs 23/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 73 · 1m Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/08/2025 · OR 73 par23/08C5OR 73C5 @ Colonial Downs 10/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 81 · 1m Gd 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/09/2025 · OR 81 parC5 @ Laurel Park 25/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 84 · 1m110y Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/10/2025 · OR 84 par25/10C5OR 84C5 @ Laurel Park 07/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 82 · 5f110y Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/06/2026 · OR 82 parC5 @ Colonial Downs 28/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 78 · 5f110y Sft 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/06/2026 · OR 78 par28/06C5OR 78C5 @ Colonial Downs 30/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 79 · 5f110y Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/07/2026 · OR 79 parC7 @ Colonial Downs 28/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 77 · 1m 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/08/2026 · OR 77 par28/08C7OR 77projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Colonial Downs?7th6th+1
2026-07-30Colonial Downs?8th5th+3
2026-06-28Colonial Downs?1st-2th+3
2026-06-07Laurel Park?11th8th+3
2025-10-25Laurel Park?9th6th+3
2025-09-10Colonial Downs?3rd0th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0710/0928/0628/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength65%

Delivery trend -8.4% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/07/20253rd25/10%75%+0.75
25/07/20251st9/488%100%+0.12
23/08/20253rd12/137%78%+0.41
10/09/20253rd14/126%71%+0.45
25/10/20259th16/116%11%-0.05
07/06/202611th25/10%0%0.00
28/06/20261st14/126%100%+0.74
30/07/20268th9/153%0%-0.53
28/08/20267th10/147%40%-0.07