Midas Factor

3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 79

Laurel Park · Race 10 - Maiden Claiming · 1m

Rank

Odds

6/5

Win Prob

23%

Place Prob

21%

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▼3

Strength78%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.0

Today:

Class gap: +2.5

Higher-class runs: 3

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-07	Colonial Downs	?	7th	4th	+3	6.0
2025-10-04	Laurel Park	?	6th	3rd	+3	7.0
2025-08-29	Colonial Downs	?	5th	2nd	+3	8.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%

▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price

Trend▼

Strength21%

Delivery trend -22.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
29/08/2025	5th	9/1	53%	60%	+0.07
04/10/2025	6th	5/2	87%	38%	-0.49
07/09/2026	7th	7/1	63%	25%	-0.38