3
My Friend Lou
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 61
Laurel Park · Race 10 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Laurel Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Colonial Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Laurel Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength42%
Delivery trend +3.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 26/04/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 06/06/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |
| 27/06/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 07/08/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 11/09/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |