Senor Money

4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 57

Laurel Park · Race 10 - Maiden Claiming · 1m

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

11%

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▬

Strength26%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C8.2

Today:

Class gap: +0.3

Higher-class runs: 2

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-04	Colonial Downs	?	8th	8th	0	2.0
2026-04-25	Tampa Bay Downs	?	8th	7th	+1	3.2
2026-04-17	Tampa Bay Downs	?	8th	7th	+1	3.2
2026-04-03	Tampa Bay Downs	?	3rd	3rd	0	7.0
2026-03-08	Tampa Bay Downs	?	3rd	3rd	0	7.0
2026-02-22	Tampa Bay Downs	?	3rd	3rd	0	7.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%

▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only

Trend▬

Strength76%

Delivery trend +0.8% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 8.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
14/01/2026	2nd	8/1	58%	91%	+0.33
31/01/2026	4th	11/4	86%	63%	-0.23
13/02/2026	3rd	7/2	82%	75%	-0.07
22/02/2026	3rd	11/4	86%	71%	-0.14
08/03/2026	3rd	4/6	96%	71%	-0.25
03/04/2026	3rd	7/2	82%	78%	-0.04
17/04/2026	8th	40/1	0%	0%	0.00
25/04/2026	8th	25/1	0%	0%	0.00
04/09/2026	8th	40/1	0%	22%	+0.22