7
Coco No Loco
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 88
Laurel Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-02 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-09-10 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength87%
Delivery trend -1.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 02/08/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 03/09/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 10/09/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 02/06/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 06/07/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 26/07/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 16/08/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 07/09/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |