
Veneto
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 78
Laurel Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
6/5
Win Prob
25%
Place Prob
34%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-07-18 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-06-29 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2025-06-07 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-05-04 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |
| 08/03/2025 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 75% | -0.19 |
| 30/03/2025 | 3rd | 4/7 | 97% | 67% | -0.30 |
| 04/05/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 07/06/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 29/06/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 18/07/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 20/08/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 11/09/2026 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 50% | -0.41 |