2

Veneto

4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 78

Laurel Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m

#1

Rank

Odds

6/5

Win Prob

25%

Place Prob

34%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength45%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Laurel Park 14/02/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 70 · 7f Gd 120 · below its mark14/02/2025 · OR 70 par14/02C9OR 70C9 @ Laurel Park 08/03/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 66 · 1m110y Fas 124 · below its mark08/03/2025 · OR 66 parC9 @ Laurel Park 30/03/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 74 · 7f Fas 124 · below its mark30/03/2025 · OR 74 par30/03C9OR 74C6 @ Laurel Park 04/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 69 · 1m Slo 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/05/2025 · OR 69 parC6 @ Laurel Park 07/06/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 65 · 7f Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/06/2025 · OR 65 par7/06C6OR 65C6 @ Laurel Park 29/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 67 · 6f Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/06/2025 · OR 67 parC6 @ Delaware Park 18/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 77 · 6f 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/07/2025 · OR 77 par18/07C6OR 77C9 @ Delaware Park 20/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 77 · 6f 124 · beat its mark20/08/2026 · OR 77 parC8 @ Laurel Park 11/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 76 · 6f Slo 126 · below its mark11/09/2026 · OR 76 par11/09C8OR 76projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Laurel Park?3rd3rd0
2026-08-20Delaware Park?1st2nd−1
2025-07-18Delaware Park?6th4th+2
2025-06-29Laurel Park?3rd1st+2
2025-06-07Laurel Park?4th2nd+2
2025-05-04Laurel Park?3rd1st+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/024/0518/0711/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength61%

Delivery trend -5.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/02/20252nd9/153%86%+0.33
08/03/20252nd6/594%75%-0.19
30/03/20253rd4/797%67%-0.30
04/05/20253rd10/147%67%+0.19
07/06/20254th12/137%67%+0.30
29/06/20253rd11/271%67%-0.04
18/07/20256th13/266%0%-0.66
20/08/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
11/09/20263rd13/891%50%-0.41