10
Atomico
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 74
Laurel Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#12
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Penn National | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Penn National | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 3-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength25%
Delivery trend +4.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 10/04/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 01/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |
| 14/05/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 05/06/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |
| 24/06/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 23/07/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 18/08/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 03/09/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |