Latin Rebel
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 77
Laurel Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-23 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-06-10 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-30 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-02 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -8.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 91% | +0.65 |
| 24/10/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 22% | -0.15 |
| 16/11/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 11/04/2026 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |
| 02/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 89% | +0.13 |
| 30/05/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 17% | -0.49 |
| 10/06/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 20% | -0.41 |
| 23/07/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |
| 10/09/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 63% | +0.10 |