Mr Flowers
6yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 87
Laurel Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-08-20 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-11-14 | Aqueduct | ? | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2025-10-05 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |
| 30/07/2025 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 01/09/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 83% | -0.06 |
| 05/10/2025 | 3rd | 11/10 | 94% | 60% | -0.34 |
| 14/11/2025 | 10th | 11/4 | 86% | 10% | -0.76 |
| 02/05/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 13/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 71% | +0.08 |
| 20/08/2026 | 6th | 13/8 | 91% | 55% | -0.37 |
| 04/09/2026 | 4th | 6/4 | 92% | 57% | -0.35 |