Owhatanite
5yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 76
Laurel Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-23 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-11-02 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 20/09/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/10/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 02/11/2025 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 91% | +0.91 |
| 23/11/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 11/04/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 23/05/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 13/06/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 20/08/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |