Red Sky Morning
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 84
Laurel Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 3.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-09-10 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-08-20 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Monmouth Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Monmouth Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 88% | +0.40 |
| 15/04/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 25/05/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 20% | -0.64 |
| 14/06/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 05/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 08/08/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 20/08/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 73% | +0.10 |
| 10/09/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 75% | +0.22 |
| 25/09/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 82% | +0.45 |