Sneaking Suspicion
6yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 84
Laurel Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-16 | Laurel Park | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |
| 04/10/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 56% | +0.29 |
| 26/10/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 78% | +0.62 |
| 16/11/2025 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 11% | -0.36 |
| 14/05/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 05/06/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 64% | +0.48 |
| 26/06/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 17% | -0.62 |
| 26/07/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 20/08/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |