Tyson's Delivery
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 73
Laurel Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#10
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Colonial Downs | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-07-10 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-10 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-03-07 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 13/09/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 88% | -0.01 |
| 05/02/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/03/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/05/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 30/05/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 10/07/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 26/07/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/08/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |