West Mountain
3yo Colt · 8-10 · OR 77
Laurel Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
23%
Place Prob
26%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-09-04 | Penn National | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-07-09 | Colonial Downs | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-05-30 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-05-09 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-11-02 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -10.8% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 09/05/2026 | 1st | 33/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 30/05/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 09/07/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/09/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 14% | -0.65 |
| 13/09/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |