14
All Fruits Ripe
6yo Gelding · 8-10
Laurel Park · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1693% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +7.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 01/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 09/05/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 06/06/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 27/06/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 29% | -0.40 |
| 23/07/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 07/08/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 28/08/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 11/09/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 89% | +0.52 |