4
Beautiful Quality
3yo Gelding · 8-10
Laurel Park · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength39%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Colonial Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-07-24 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-10 | Laurel Park | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-12-19 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 1-16 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength69%
Delivery trend -4.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/12/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/01/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/07/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 44% | +0.29 |
| 24/07/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 21/08/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 06/09/2026 | 8th | 3/1 | 84% | 36% | -0.48 |