2
Classic Martini
4yo Gelding · 9-0
Laurel Park · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
22%
Place Prob
19%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Colonial Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Charles Town | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-06 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-19 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-27 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-20 | Meadowlands | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1660% of fieldRange 7-16 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength5%
Delivery trend -1.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06/2025 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 10/08/2025 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 23/08/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 20/09/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 88% | +0.51 |
| 27/11/2025 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 19/12/2025 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 06/02/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 28/02/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 40% | -0.26 |
| 28/08/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |