Nostromo
4yo Gelding · 9-0
Laurel Park · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 5.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Colonial Downs | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-08-16 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-06-28 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-06-12 | Laurel Park | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +6.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/06/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 63% | +0.36 |
| 24/07/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 16/08/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 90% | +0.74 |
| 07/09/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |