16
Plenty On Tap
3yo Gelding · 8-10
Laurel Park · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
44%
Place Prob
26%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-30 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +6.2% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 04/04/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 88% | +0.19 |
| 19/04/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 09/05/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 56% | +0.40 |
| 06/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 89% | +0.26 |
| 27/06/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 91% | +0.12 |
| 18/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 86% | -0.01 |
| 30/08/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 78% | +0.62 |
| 11/09/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 78% | -0.05 |