4
Bangkok Blaze
2yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 36
Laurel Park · Race 5 - Maiden Claiming · 7f
#9
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength27%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Colonial Downs | ? | 9th | 6th | +3 |
| 2026-06-24 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength23%
Delivery trend +14.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 17% | -0.49 |
| 05/07/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 21/07/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 13/08/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |