Antisocial
4yo Colt · 8-11 · OR 101
Laurel Park · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Keeneland | ? | 9th | 3rd | +5 |
| 2025-09-06 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 4th | -2th | +5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 78% | -0.01 |
| 16/07/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 09/08/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 71% | +0.00 |
| 06/09/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 73% | +0.15 |
| 25/10/2025 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 27% | -0.20 |
| 05/06/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 45% | -0.33 |
| 21/06/2026 | 5th | 5/4 | 93% | 43% | -0.51 |
| 18/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 88% | +0.16 |
| 09/08/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |