6

Jessica's Eyes

3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 87

Laurel Park · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f 110y

#8

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength41%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Colonial Downs 06/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 5f110y 1196/09C9C5 @ Laurel Park 11/10/2025 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR 74 · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/10/2025 · OR 74 parC6 @ Laurel Park 21/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 59 · 5f110y Fm 119 · beat its mark21/11/2025 · OR 59 par21/11C6OR 59C5 @ Laurel Park 26/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 75 · 5f110y Gd 114 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/04/2026 · OR 75 parC5 @ Laurel Park 16/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 78 · 1m 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/05/2026 · OR 78 par16/05C5OR 78C5 @ Laurel Park 13/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 89 · 5f110y Fm 116 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/06/2026 · OR 89 parC5 @ Colonial Downs 12/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 86 · 5f110y Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark12/07/2026 · OR 86 par12/07C5OR 86C5 @ Colonial Downs 07/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 86 · 5f110y Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/08/2026 · OR 86 parC5 @ Colonial Downs 03/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 88 · 5f110y Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/09/2026 · OR 88 par3/09C5OR 88projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Colonial Downs?1st0th+1
2026-08-07Colonial Downs?2nd1st+1
2026-07-12Colonial Downs?6th5th+1
2026-06-13Laurel Park?7th6th+1
2026-05-16Laurel Park?6th5th+1
2026-04-26Laurel Park?4th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0926/0412/073/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength45%

Delivery trend +0.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/09/20251st5/287%100%+0.13
11/10/202512th20/10%8%+0.08
21/11/20251st25/10%100%+1.00
26/04/20264th6/168%57%-0.11
16/05/20266th33/10%17%+0.17
13/06/20267th11/271%14%-0.57
12/07/20266th33/10%44%+0.44
07/08/20262nd16/116%86%+0.70
03/09/20261st9/488%100%+0.12