Knockanara
5yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 90
Laurel Park · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 3.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-08-07 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-11-22 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-09-12 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-08-14 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 06/06/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 25/07/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 14/08/2025 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 86% | -0.08 |
| 12/09/2025 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 86% | -0.06 |
| 01/11/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 22/11/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 07/08/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 20/08/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 60% | -0.24 |