10
Mizner
3yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 98
Laurel Park · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
9/5
Win Prob
34%
Place Prob
27%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-14 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-14 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-09-06 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +13.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 14/03/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |
| 18/04/2026 | 1st | 4/11 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 14/05/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 12/07/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |