2
Normandy Hero
5yo Horse · 9-0 · OR 90
Laurel Park · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
23%
Place Prob
22%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-08-22 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-25 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength68%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 23/11/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 01/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |
| 07/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/10 | 94% | 60% | -0.34 |
| 25/06/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |
| 08/07/2026 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 88% | -0.06 |
| 08/08/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 22/08/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 83% | +0.18 |
| 05/09/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 63% | -0.27 |