Petcoff
6yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 101
Laurel Park · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
9/5
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-17 | Fair Grounds | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-12-18 | Fair Grounds | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-27 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-09 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-05-01 | Churchill Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 08/03/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 08/04/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 01/05/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 09/08/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 27/08/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 18/12/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 17/01/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 09/08/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |