7
Twisted Filigree
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 100
Laurel Park · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-07 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-04 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength55%
Delivery trend -1.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 56% | -0.18 |
| 30/08/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 04/10/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 43% | -0.15 |
| 25/10/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 04/01/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 07/02/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 14% | -0.54 |
| 05/06/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 73% | +0.57 |
| 17/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 71% | -0.15 |
| 23/08/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |