War Humor
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 90
Laurel Park · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
11%
Place Prob
15%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.9 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-27 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-06-14 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-27 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-11-07 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 01/09/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 29% | -0.29 |
| 21/09/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 07/11/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 27/11/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |
| 12/04/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 14/06/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 83% | +0.68 |
| 27/06/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 11/07/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |