8
Alexis Zorba
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 91
Laurel Park · Race 7 - Allowance · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.9 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -1.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-08-15 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-07-12 | Saratoga | ? | 10th | 12th | −2 |
| 2026-06-19 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-05-15 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 10th | 12th | −2 |
| 2025-11-12 | Aqueduct | ? | 8th | 10th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +7.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/2025 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 11/09/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 09/10/2025 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 12/11/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 22% | -0.25 |
| 15/05/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 19/06/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 12/07/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 15/08/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 05/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |