11
Boastfully Irish
3yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 90
Laurel Park · Race 7 - Allowance · 5f 110y
#10
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-21 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-10-17 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength11%
Delivery trend -6.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 21/11/2025 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 25% | -0.51 |
| 15/05/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 20/06/2026 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 14% | -0.67 |
| 29/08/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 71% | +0.06 |