2
Spring Decision
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 86
Laurel Park · Race 7 - Allowance · 5f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Laurel Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-01-23 | Laurel Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-28 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-07 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-09-11 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 9-13 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength11%
Delivery trend -2.8% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 9th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 18/10/2025 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 07/11/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 75% | +0.09 |
| 28/11/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 63% | +0.02 |
| 23/01/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 13% | -0.35 |
| 19/04/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 36% | +0.10 |