10
Start Tappin
3yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 87
Laurel Park · Race 7 - Allowance · 5f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-07-13 | Colonial Downs | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2026-05-16 | Laurel Park | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength96%
Delivery trend +0.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 14/06/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 13/07/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 20/08/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |