IvyArcIvyArc
9

Virtuosity

4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 90

Laurel Park · Race 7 - Allowance · 5f 110y

#12

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength8%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Colonial Downs 13/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 81 · 5f110y Fm 119 · beat its mark13/08/2025 · OR 81 par13/08C6OR 81C6 @ Colonial Downs 04/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 83 · 5f Fm 121 · beat its mark04/09/2025 · OR 83 parC5 @ Presque Isle Downs 23/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 85 · 6f110y 120 · beat its mark23/10/2025 · OR 85 par23/10C5OR 85C5 @ Laurel Park 28/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 90 · 6f 121 · below its mark28/11/2025 · OR 90 parC5 @ Turfway Park 09/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 87 · 6f Fas 121 · below its mark09/01/2026 · OR 87 par9/01C5OR 87C5 @ Presque Isle Downs 18/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 85 · 6f 123 · below its mark18/05/2026 · OR 85 parC5 @ Laurel Park 07/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 84 · 5f110y Fm 123 · beat its mark07/06/2026 · OR 84 par7/06C5OR 84C5 @ Colonial Downs 13/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 90 · 5f110y Yie 122 · beat its mark13/07/2026 · OR 90 parC5 @ Colonial Downs 30/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 92 · 5f110y Fm 122 · below its mark30/07/2026 · OR 92 par30/07C5OR 92projClass-projected finish: 1st of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-30Colonial Downs?3rd3rd0
2026-07-13Colonial Downs?3rd3rd0
2026-06-07Laurel Park?3rd3rd0
2026-05-18Presque Isle Downs?4th4th0
2026-01-09Turfway Park?6th6th0
2025-11-28Laurel Park?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0828/117/0630/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength79%

Delivery trend -3.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/08/20252nd13/891%89%-0.03
04/09/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
23/10/20252nd9/276%86%+0.09
28/11/20258th20/10%13%+0.13
09/01/20266th25/10%55%+0.55
18/05/20264th9/488%50%-0.38
07/06/20263rd11/271%80%+0.09
13/07/20263rd7/282%80%-0.02
30/07/20263rd7/491%71%-0.19