2
Rocker Roller
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 76
Laurel Park · Race 8 - Maiden Special Weight · 7f
#1
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
43%
Place Prob
32%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-07-11 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-05-27 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength88%
Delivery trend +8.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 27/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 11/07/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 86% | +0.02 |
| 26/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 75% | -0.13 |