Alani
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 102
Laurel Park · Race 9 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
10%
Place Prob
15%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 2.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-27 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-09-06 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-07-26 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-06-28 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-05-31 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-04-27 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.8% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/2024 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 57% | -0.28 |
| 16/11/2024 | 1st | 8/15 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 13/03/2025 | 2nd | 4/9 | 98% | 67% | -0.31 |
| 27/04/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 31/05/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 28/06/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |
| 26/07/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 06/09/2025 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 27/09/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |