Come To Mama
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 90
Laurel Park · Race 9 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-08-27 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-07-26 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-06 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-13 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2026-05-08 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 30/09/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 24/04/2026 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 22% | -0.51 |
| 08/05/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 13/06/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 06/07/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 26/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 27/08/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 83% | +0.18 |
| 12/09/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |