2

Flamingo Way

5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 98

Laurel Park · Race 9 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f 110y

#8

Rank

Odds

9/5

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength39%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 2.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Presque Isle Downs 08/07/2024 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 89 · 6f110y Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/07/2024 · OR 89 par8/07C5OR 89C6 @ Penn National 31/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 90 · 5f Yie 121 · beat its mark31/07/2025 · OR 90 parC5 @ Laurel Park 13/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 94 · 6f Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/09/2025 · OR 94 par13/09C5OR 94C6 @ Gulfstream 31/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 94 · 5f Fm 121 · beat its mark31/10/2025 · OR 94 parC5 @ Gulfstream 27/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 100 · 5f Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/12/2025 · OR 100 par27/12C5OR 100C5 @ Gulfstream 07/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 105 · 5f Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/02/2026 · OR 105 parC5 @ Gulfstream 14/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 105 · 5f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/03/2026 · OR 105 par14/03C5OR 105C5 @ Penn National 14/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 110 · 5f Fm 114 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/08/2026 · OR 110 par14/08C5OR 110projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-14Penn National?2nd1st+1
2026-03-14Gulfstream?4th3rd+1
2026-02-07Gulfstream?3rd2nd+1
2025-12-27Gulfstream?4th3rd+1
2025-10-31Gulfstream?1st1st0
2025-09-13Laurel Park?4th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0731/1014/0314/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength92%

Delivery trend -0.3% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/07/20243rd3/184%60%-0.24
31/07/20251st9/153%100%+0.47
13/09/20254th9/153%63%+0.10
31/10/20251st5/287%100%+0.13
27/12/20254th2/189%50%-0.39
07/02/20263rd13/891%71%-0.20
14/03/20264th14/126%67%+0.40
14/08/20262nd9/488%86%-0.02