3

In My Memories

4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 94

Laurel Park · Race 9 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f 110y

#2

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

63%

Place Prob

38%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength32%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 2.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Laurel Park 21/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 81 · 6f Fas 122 · below its mark21/06/2025 · OR 81 par21/06C6OR 81C6 @ Delaware Park 17/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 84 · 6f 120 · below its mark17/07/2025 · OR 84 parC7 @ Delaware Park 08/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 90 · 6f 118 · below its mark08/08/2025 · OR 90 par8/08C7OR 90C5 @ Laurel Park 07/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 91 · 5f110y Gd 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/09/2025 · OR 91 parC5 @ Charles Town 27/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 89 · 6f110y 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/09/2025 · OR 89 par27/09C5OR 89C5 @ Charles Town 19/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 94 · 7f 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/10/2025 · OR 94 parC5 @ Laurel Park 29/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 98 · 7f 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/11/2025 · OR 98 par29/11C5OR 98C6 @ Charles Town 12/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 94 · 7f 123 · below its mark12/12/2025 · OR 94 parC6 @ Laurel Park 10/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 91 · 6f Slo 123 · beat its mark10/01/2026 · OR 91 par10/01C6OR 91projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-01-10Laurel Park?1st1st0
2025-12-12Charles Town?2nd2nd0
2025-11-29Laurel Park?6th5th+1
2025-10-19Charles Town?1st0th+1
2025-09-27Charles Town?2nd1st+1
2025-09-07Laurel Park?4th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/067/0929/1110/01
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength36%

Delivery trend +8.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/06/20253rd4/179%67%-0.12
17/07/20254th4/179%0%-0.79
08/08/20253rd2/189%60%-0.29
07/09/20254th12/137%57%+0.20
27/09/20252nd11/486%86%+0.00
19/10/20251st1/599%100%+0.01
29/11/20256th16/116%17%+0.01
12/12/20252nd7/491%80%-0.11
10/01/20261st10/147%100%+0.53