Wisconsin Gal
4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 87
Laurel Park · Race 9 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#11
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Ellis Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Ellis Park | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-17 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-04-28 | Churchill Downs | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-04-04 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -8.6% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/12/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 82% | +0.66 |
| 06/02/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/03/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 90% | +0.64 |
| 04/04/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 28/04/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 17/06/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 86% | +0.59 |
| 18/07/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 07/08/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 15/08/2026 | 7th | 11/4 | 86% | 14% | -0.71 |