3
Del Mo
7yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 83
Mountaineer · Race 1 - Claiming · 7f
#5
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-16 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Turfway Park | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Turfway Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Turfway Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-13 | Turfway Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength69%
Delivery trend -2.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 19/12/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 22% | -0.04 |
| 08/01/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 10% | -0.06 |
| 13/02/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 01/03/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 88% | +0.19 |
| 15/03/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 28/03/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 86% | +0.03 |
| 05/08/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 64% | -0.18 |