9
Dance On Air
5yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 44
Mountaineer · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m
#11
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Mountaineer | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength72%
Delivery trend +2.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/11/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 04/01/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 10/01/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/04/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 23/06/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 13% | -0.40 |
| 14/07/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 27/07/2026 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 24/08/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 31/08/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |