10
Khnum
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 60
Mountaineer · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
62%
Place Prob
48%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength29%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 8-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength9%
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/04/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 83% | +0.25 |
| 28/04/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 18/05/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 08/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 86% | -0.09 |
| 29/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 14/07/2026 | 4th | 11/10 | 94% | 50% | -0.44 |
| 06/08/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |
| 19/08/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 01/09/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |