7
Pour Me A Drink
5yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 55
Mountaineer · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength44%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-09-03 | Mountaineer | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Mountaineer | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-07-14 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 6-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -1.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/12/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |
| 14/04/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 05/05/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/06/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 14/07/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 28/07/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 24/08/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 17% | -0.36 |
| 03/09/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 20/09/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |