Sassy Allie
5yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 70
Mountaineer · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m
#9
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-16 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-05-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-08-21 | Colonial Downs | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-07-16 | Colonial Downs | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2025-06-06 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-05-09 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/11/2024 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |
| 27/12/2024 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 13/02/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 09/05/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |
| 06/06/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 16/07/2025 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 21/08/2025 | 12th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 11/05/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 16/06/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |