Xhilaratingpurpose
6yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 67
Mountaineer · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
34%
Place Prob
35%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-08-25 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-28 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-06-14 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-12-08 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07/2025 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 08/09/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 27/10/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 08/12/2025 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 04/05/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 14/06/2026 | 7th | 5/2 | 87% | 14% | -0.73 |
| 28/07/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 25/08/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 57% | +0.31 |
| 07/09/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |