Bashful Daisy
6yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 71
Mountaineer · Race 3 - Claiming · 5f
#3
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Mountaineer | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-08-17 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-08-03 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Mountaineer | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Charles Town | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.2% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 07/02/2026 | 5th | 15/8 | 90% | 43% | -0.47 |
| 14/02/2026 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 83% | -0.10 |
| 28/03/2026 | 4th | 7/4 | 91% | 25% | -0.66 |
| 29/06/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 22/07/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 44% | +0.18 |
| 03/08/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 17/08/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 07/09/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 17% | -0.65 |